The deployment of SADC troops in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has sparked tension and frustration, particularly from Rwanda’s President Paul Kagame. He openly criticized the decision to send South African, Malawian, and Tanzanian forces to aid the DRC army (FARDC) in fighting the M23 rebels—without consulting Rwanda. Kagame’s reaction underscores the growing diplomatic rift over the ongoing conflict in eastern Congo.
As M23 fighters, reportedly backed by Rwanda, advanced on the city of Goma, they issued an ultimatum demanding the surrender of FARDC forces. By Monday morning, Goma had fallen. In the fierce battle leading up to this moment, SADC troops (SAMIDRC) and UN peacekeepers (MONUSCO) attempted to halt M23’s progress but suffered heavy losses. Reports indicate that nine South African soldiers were killed, with others from Malawi and Tanzania also losing their lives. Additionally, MONUSCO confirmed the deaths of two peacekeepers, with several others wounded.
The escalating violence raises serious concerns about SADC’s ability to maintain stability in the region. Many analysts in South Africa are now calling for the immediate withdrawal of SADC troops, arguing that the mission lacks strategic clarity and risks turning into a prolonged and costly engagement.
However, a withdrawal could have devastating consequences. If South African troops pull out, it would not only mark a significant victory for M23 but also diminish South Africa’s influence in regional security. Analysts warn that such a retreat could limit South Africa’s ability to project power beyond the SADC region, at a time when Rwanda is already extending its reach into Mozambique.
Further complicating the situation, South Africa’s dominance within SADC is being challenged by Angola, which has been increasingly exerting its influence in regional politics. The latest flare-up in the conflict followed the collapse of a planned summit between DRC President Félix Tshisekedi and Rwanda’s Kagame, which was meant to be mediated by Angolan President Jaoa Manuel Lourenço. Kagame abruptly canceled his participation, citing ongoing clashes between M23 and Congolese forces as a key reason.
The mineral-rich eastern provinces of the DRC have long been a battleground for various factions, mercenaries, and international players, each with vested interests. Intelligence reports suggest that over 250 local and 14 foreign-armed groups are currently operating in the region, making it one of the most volatile conflict zones in Africa. M23, largely composed of ethnic Tutsis, is believed to have strong ties to Rwanda, and some sources even suggest links to Israel’s security apparatus and Western intelligence agencies.
The DRC’s complex and chaotic security landscape is nothing new. From coups and assassinations to foreign interventions and plundering of resources, the region has endured decades of instability. The question now is whether SADC forces can sustain their presence and make a meaningful impact—or if they will be forced into a humiliating retreat, leaving the DRC’s fate in the hands of a tangled web of geopolitical interests.